4
Grandsonsam
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/02/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 24/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |