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6

Two Hearted

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 92

Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Starter Allowance · 1m 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 85 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 85 par28/10C7OR 85C7 @ Churchill Downs 15/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m 121 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 14/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 90 par14/04C6OR 90C6 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 83 par26/05C6OR 83C5 @ Hawthorne 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 82 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 1m 126 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 81 par7/07C7OR 81C7 @ Fairmount Park 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 1m4f 121 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 93 par25/08C7OR 93projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-11Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-11Hawthorne?1st-1th+2
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?2nd1st+1
2026-05-05Fairmount Park?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/105/057/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength61%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20254th33/10%40%+0.40
15/11/20255th50/10%60%+0.60
14/04/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
05/05/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
26/05/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
11/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
07/07/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
11/08/20263rd8/1196%60%-0.36
25/08/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01