8

Move In Silence

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 57

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 15/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/10/2024 · OR 67 par15/10C6OR 67C8 @ Hawthorne 17/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark17/04/2025 · OR 56 parC8 @ Hawthorne 01/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 61 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 61 par1/05C8OR 61C6 @ Fairmount Park 10/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2025 · OR 64 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 15/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 62 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 62 par15/07C8OR 62C8 @ Fairmount Park 09/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 60 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 07/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 56 par7/10C8OR 56C6 @ Fairmount Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 56 · 5f110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 56 parC8 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 51 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 51 par5/08C8OR 51projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-05-16Fairmount Park?9th7th+2
2025-10-07Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-08-09Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-07-15Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2025-06-10Fairmount Park?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1010/067/105/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20248th13/266%22%-0.44
17/04/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
01/05/20253rd10/147%50%+0.03
10/06/20252nd9/153%83%+0.31
15/07/20254th5/287%25%-0.62
09/08/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
07/10/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
16/05/20269th12/137%20%-0.17
05/08/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59