2
Girlolamo'glory
10yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Fairmount Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
67%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/10/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |