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8

Hand Over My Heart

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72

Fairmount Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 72 par11/10C6OR 72C6 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 72 · 6f 124 · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 72 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f Slo 124 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 68 par18/04C6OR 68C6 @ Fairmount Park 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 73 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 73 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 124 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 75 par2/06C6OR 75C6 @ Fairmount Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 66 · 6f 126 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 66 par4/07C8OR 66C6 @ Fairmount Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Gd 126 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 69 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 66 · 6f 126 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 66 par25/08C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-25Fairmount Park?8th8th0
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?2nd4th−2
2026-06-20Fairmount Park?10th10th0
2026-06-02Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-05-12Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1012/054/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength42%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20255th10/147%20%-0.27
28/10/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
18/04/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
12/05/20262nd15/890%75%-0.15
02/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
20/06/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
04/07/20262nd15/261%80%+0.19
25/07/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
25/08/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70