1
Verrazanointhesky
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 64
Fairmount Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 19/12/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 30/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |