1
Ekwanok
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 80
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 17% | -0.73 |