King Khali
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-05-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2024 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/01/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 07/03/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 03/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |