3
Maturation
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 62
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 22/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |