6
Percy
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |