2
Nyikos
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |