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4

Sir Kartrite

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

22%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Aqueduct 05/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 87 · 6f 121 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 87 par5/02C5OR 87C5 @ Aqueduct 28/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 85 · 6f110y Gd 121 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 73 · 6f 126 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 73 par10/04C8OR 73C8 @ Finger Lakes 05/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 5f 124 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 79 par19/05C5OR 79C5 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 72 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 72 par29/06C5OR 72C5 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y Slo 122 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 77 par31/08C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-06-29Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-16Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-05-19Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-05-05Finger Lakes?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/025/0529/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
28/02/20269th5/287%0%-0.87
10/04/20265th5/287%0%-0.87
05/05/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
19/05/20266th11/486%0%-0.86
16/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
29/06/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22
03/08/20264th7/163%40%-0.23
31/08/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02