7
God's Angel
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |