3
Rockinmoney
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |