2

Book Of Wisdom

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 74

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 20/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 87 par20/11C8OR 87C8 @ Aqueduct 11/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Aqueduct 05/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 81 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 81 par5/02C8OR 81C8 @ Laurel Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 76 · 6f 123 · beat its mark08/03/2026 · OR 76 parC7 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 73 par11/04C7OR 73C8 @ Laurel Park 24/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Laurel Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 75 · 7f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 75 par9/05C7OR 75C7 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 78 par8/07C5OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Finger Lakes?7th4th+3
2026-06-12Laurel Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-09Laurel Park?2nd1st+1
2026-04-24Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-04-11Laurel Park?4th3rd+1
2026-03-08Laurel Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/118/039/058/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/20256th16/116%17%+0.01
11/12/20252nd9/276%86%+0.09
05/02/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
08/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
11/04/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
24/04/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
09/05/20262nd7/163%75%+0.12
12/06/20263rd11/271%60%-0.11
08/07/20267th14/126%0%-0.26