8
In Traffic
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |