3
Rubys Mission
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |