6
Tekila
8yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |