2

Canyouhearmerunnin

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 90

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fort Erie 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 5f110y Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 89 par20/10C5OR 89C7 @ Woodbine 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Aqueduct 04/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 92 · 6f 121 · below its mark04/02/2026 · OR 92 par4/02C8OR 92C8 @ Aqueduct 01/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 6f Gd 121 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Aqueduct 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 85 · 7f Slo 121 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 85 par25/04C8OR 85C8 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 87 · 5f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 87 par27/05C5OR 87C6 @ Finger Lakes 10/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 86 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 86 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 86 par30/06C6OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-06-10Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?1st3rd2
2026-04-25Aqueduct?5th7th2
2026-03-01Aqueduct?3rd5th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/101/0327/0530/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20254th12/137%40%+0.03
07/11/20252nd7/163%86%+0.23
04/02/20264th11/271%70%-0.01
01/03/20263rd7/163%67%+0.04
25/04/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
12/05/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
27/05/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06
10/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
30/06/20265th13/266%20%-0.46