East Coast Girl
6yo Horse · 8-8 · OR 97
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/12/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |