1
Pompous Prince
6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 97
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |