4
Bounty Killah
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 41
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 14/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |