5
Miss Pab
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 45
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |