3
Pure Elegance
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 65
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength21%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |