8
Roshiell My Belle
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 36
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |