1
Sweet Tooth Sue
8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 53
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
47%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 30/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |