Getting Ahead
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 72
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |