3
Mi Tormenta
8yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 63
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fort Erie | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |