Shes Hot To Trot
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 65
Fort Erie · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 21/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 17/11/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |