1
Charletta
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 23
Fort Erie · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |