5

Globetrotting

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength66%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 71 par25/11C5OR 71C5 @ Mahoning Valley 12/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 70 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 70 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 67 par6/03C5OR 67C5 @ Mahoning Valley 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/03/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Woodbine 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 76 par6/06C8OR 76C7 @ Fort Erie 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 7f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 74 par12/07C5OR 74C8 @ Fort Erie 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f 124 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Fort Erie 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 73 · 7f Slo 124 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 73 par31/08C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Fort Erie?3rd3rd0
2026-08-03Fort Erie?4th4th0
2026-07-12Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2026-06-21Fort Erie?7th6th+1
2026-06-06Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-03-24Mahoning Valley?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1124/0312/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/11/20252nd15/261%83%+0.23
12/01/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
06/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
24/03/20264th5/287%0%-0.87
06/06/20267th10/147%0%-0.47
21/06/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
12/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
03/08/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
31/08/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02