8
Little Red Domi
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |