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7

Mymathes Correct

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68

Fort Erie · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

77%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength93%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +2.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fort Erie 09/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 67 par9/09C6OR 67C5 @ Fort Erie 13/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 75 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 75 parC8 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 69 · 7f Fas 123 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 69 par24/10C8OR 69C5 @ Woodbine 21/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Mountaineer 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 70 par25/05C5OR 70C5 @ Fort Erie 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 60 · 7f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 60 parC5 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 62 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 62 par12/07C5OR 62C5 @ Fort Erie 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 65 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Fort Erie 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 76 par10/08C5OR 76projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Fort Erie?8th5th+3
2026-07-28Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2026-07-12Fort Erie?5th2nd+3
2026-06-30Fort Erie?1st-2th+3
2026-05-25Mountaineer?4th1st+3
2025-11-21Woodbine?8th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0921/1112/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength38%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
13/10/20255th3/184%0%-0.84
24/10/20253rd33/10%75%+0.75
21/11/20258th50/10%0%0.00
25/05/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
30/06/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
12/07/20265th15/261%20%-0.41
28/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
10/08/20268th12/137%13%-0.24