3

My Cash Factor

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 59

Fort Erie · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 68 · 7f Fas 122 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 68 par23/10C8OR 68C7 @ Woodbine 15/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 72 · 7f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 72 parC8 @ Woodbine 12/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 73 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 73 par12/12C8OR 73C8 @ Woodbine 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 76 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 64 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 64 par5/06C8OR 64C8 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Fort Erie 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 62 · 1m Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 62 par3/08C7OR 62C8 @ Fort Erie 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 72 · 7f Fas 122 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Fort Erie 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 59 · 7f 124 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 59 par24/08C8OR 59projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2026-08-10Fort Erie?5th5th0
2026-08-03Fort Erie?4th3rd+1
2026-07-05Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-06-05Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Woodbine?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1022/053/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength15%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
15/11/202510th40/10%10%+0.10
12/12/20253rd12/137%67%+0.30
22/05/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
05/06/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
05/07/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
03/08/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
10/08/20265th4/179%33%-0.46
24/08/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64