A La Carte
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 17/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |