6

Bingo's Grind

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81

Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fort Erie 17/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 84 · 7f Slo 120 · below its mark17/08/2025 · OR 84 par17/08C8OR 84C8 @ Fort Erie 06/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 75 parC5 @ Fort Erie 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 76 · 6f110y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 76 par20/10C5OR 76C8 @ Fort Erie 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 73 · 6f110y 124 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Fort Erie 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 6f 124 · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 80 par29/06C8OR 80C7 @ Fort Erie 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Fort Erie 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 82 par27/07C8OR 82C8 @ Fort Erie 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 81 · 6f 124 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Fort Erie 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 81 · 6f 124 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 81 par31/08C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Fort Erie?4th4th0
2026-08-17Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2026-07-27Fort Erie?7th7th0
2026-07-12Fort Erie?5th4th+1
2026-06-29Fort Erie?2nd2nd0
2026-05-31Fort Erie?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0831/0527/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength56%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20253rd10/1195%50%-0.45
06/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
20/10/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
31/05/20262nd15/261%80%+0.19
29/06/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
12/07/20265th9/276%20%-0.56
27/07/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
17/08/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09
31/08/20264th1/195%25%-0.70