Santiago Salsa
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 64
Fort Erie · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |