6
Arami's Speighster
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 77
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 01/08/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 24/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |