Ginger's Holiday
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 71
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 04/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |