8

Miah Said

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 70

Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fort Erie 14/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 5f Fas 120 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 71 par14/10C8OR 71C8 @ Woodbine 20/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 69 parC8 @ Woodbine 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 71 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 71 par26/04C8OR 71C8 @ Woodbine 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Woodbine 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 7f 121 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 65 par19/06C8OR 65C8 @ Woodbine 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Woodbine 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 75 par24/07C8OR 75C8 @ Woodbine 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Fort Erie 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 73 par31/08C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Fort Erie?7th7th0
2026-08-14Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-07-24Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-10Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-06-19Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Woodbine?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1024/0524/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength14%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20252nd7/163%83%+0.20
20/11/20257th14/126%0%-0.26
26/04/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
24/05/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
19/06/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
10/07/20265th6/168%33%-0.35
24/07/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
14/08/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
31/08/20267th7/163%0%-0.63