
Miah Said
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 70
Fort Erie · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Fort Erie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |