Berkus
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 70
Fort Erie · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Fort Erie | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2025 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 9% | -0.67 |
| 27/03/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 13/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 11/05/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |