Rigoberto
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |