4

Secret's Image

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 72

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/11/2023 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/11/2023 · OR 92 par8/11C5OR 92C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2024 · OR 80 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark16/10/2024 · OR 73 par16/10C8OR 73C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 77 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m110y Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 82 par16/09C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 84 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 86 par13/11C5OR 86C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 74 par9/07C5OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th5th+3
2025-10-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2025-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2025-09-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/115/0913/119/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20233rd5/174%78%+0.04
01/10/20245th10/147%43%-0.05
16/10/20246th9/488%17%-0.71
05/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
16/09/20254th12/137%57%+0.20
06/10/20256th16/116%38%+0.22
13/11/20258th25/10%22%+0.22
23/06/20267th25/10%0%0.00
09/07/20266th20/10%0%0.00