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6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-09-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2023 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 01/10/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 16/10/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 06/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 13/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |