Zappinit
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |