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4

Mi Blood Token

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 66

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Cox Ranch Distaff Challenge Final Stakes · 1f 180y

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 63 · 1f80y Fas 126 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 63 par8/04C8OR 63BHA68 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 68 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 68 par11/0568OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 65 · 1f80y Fas 126 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 65 par6/07C5OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th7th−1
2026-05-11Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA681st4th−2
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0411/056/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
11/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
06/07/20266th14/126%38%+0.11