4

Coach Knight

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 72 par6/05C5OR 72C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 76 par14/05C8OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 78 par2/06C5OR 78C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f 119 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 77 par16/06C8OR 77C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m70y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 80 par8/07C5OR 80C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 74 par29/07C5OR 74C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 78 · 1m 119 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 78 par25/08C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-06-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-02Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-05-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0516/0625/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
14/05/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
02/06/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
16/06/20267th6/168%14%-0.54
08/07/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
29/07/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
25/08/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07