6
Fervent Prayer
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength73%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 06/10/2025 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |