2
Dreaming Girl
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |