Over And Above
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 68
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 13/11/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |