4
Aumoe
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 73
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |